Many people are afraid, that the leading Presidential candidate Barack Obama won't win the election even if he leads the actual polls. Many conservative bloggers predict a change of the voters minds on the Election Day. Here is what I think about this prediction that McCain will catch up with Obama and then win the election.
Five points why McCain will NOT win the elections 2008:
1. John McCain's Vice President pick has been proved to be a flop. Sarah Palin can only inspire
the right-wing conservative segment, but not the broad public - which is much more important for the Republican team now. Even some Republicans say that Palin is not ready for the presidency. Moreover, Palin drags many scandals behind her from Troopergate to her wardrobe, which had been paid from the donations. And what if McCain dies during the four years of being President? Palin for President? Too many Americans are afraid of this.
2. McCain's campaign has a negative tone. Palin and McCain claimed, that Obama has close contact to terrorists. They tried to imply connection with former radicals like Ayers, which is ridiculous, because during Ayers active time, Obama was eight years old.
Another negative point of McCain's campaign is the arrogance, which could be seen in the second TV debate, when McCain called Obama "that one".
3. The Grand Old Party is split, because of McCain's controversial campaign. Colin Powell's declaration, that he stands behind Obama, will now influence many undecided voters to vote for the Democratic candidate.
4. Which "Democratic" state can McCain win? In those states he's behind Barack Obama with a binary percent number. Obama leads in the "swing states", where it will be hard for McCain to catch up (see article below about TV spots). Additionally, Obama leads in traditional Republican states like Virginia, Colorado and North Dakota.
5. Obama's campaign is more than an election campaign - it is a movement. Only a movement can motivate so many people to donate for the Candidate. Hundreds of thousands come to Obama's rallies, many more thant the number of people who showing up to the Republican events.
The American people need a new spirit and Obama is the one who can bring the feeling. This is the big difference he has to McCain or even Hillary Clinton.
Conclusion: the fourth of November will be a landslide for the Democrats.
Five points why McCain will NOT win the elections 2008:
1. John McCain's Vice President pick has been proved to be a flop. Sarah Palin can only inspire
the right-wing conservative segment, but not the broad public - which is much more important for the Republican team now. Even some Republicans say that Palin is not ready for the presidency. Moreover, Palin drags many scandals behind her from Troopergate to her wardrobe, which had been paid from the donations. And what if McCain dies during the four years of being President? Palin for President? Too many Americans are afraid of this.
2. McCain's campaign has a negative tone. Palin and McCain claimed, that Obama has close contact to terrorists. They tried to imply connection with former radicals like Ayers, which is ridiculous, because during Ayers active time, Obama was eight years old.
Another negative point of McCain's campaign is the arrogance, which could be seen in the second TV debate, when McCain called Obama "that one".
3. The Grand Old Party is split, because of McCain's controversial campaign. Colin Powell's declaration, that he stands behind Obama, will now influence many undecided voters to vote for the Democratic candidate.
4. Which "Democratic" state can McCain win? In those states he's behind Barack Obama with a binary percent number. Obama leads in the "swing states", where it will be hard for McCain to catch up (see article below about TV spots). Additionally, Obama leads in traditional Republican states like Virginia, Colorado and North Dakota.
5. Obama's campaign is more than an election campaign - it is a movement. Only a movement can motivate so many people to donate for the Candidate. Hundreds of thousands come to Obama's rallies, many more thant the number of people who showing up to the Republican events.
The American people need a new spirit and Obama is the one who can bring the feeling. This is the big difference he has to McCain or even Hillary Clinton.
Conclusion: the fourth of November will be a landslide for the Democrats.
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